Pokemon Go’s “An Instinctive Hero” event has introduced two highly anticipated Pokémon: Larvesta and its evolution, Volcarona. Unfortunately, these Pokémon can only be obtained by hatching 2km, 5km, and 10km eggs, and the hatch rates for Larvesta have been dishearteningly low, according to data from The Silph Road.
During the event, which runs from Tuesday, May 2, 2023, at 10:00 a.m. to Monday, May 8, 2023, at 8:00 p.m. local time, researchers have hatched 364 eggs and observed a Larvesta hatch rate of 0.82%. The hatch rates for each egg distance group are as follows:
- 2km: 0.70% (1 out of 143 eggs)
- 5km: 0.68% (1 out of 148 eggs)
- 10km: 1.37% (1 out of 73 eggs)
Due to the low number of Larvesta hatches, it is still unclear if the hatch rate is uniform across the three egg distance groups. However, it is evident that hatching a Larvesta is quite rare. On average, researchers had to hatch 121.3 eggs, covering a distance of 585.3 km, to obtain a single Larvesta.
To evolve Larvesta into Volcarona, players need 400 Larvesta Candy. Assuming the same hatch rate, players would need to walk an estimated 13,000 km to collect enough candy. Fans have expressed their frustration with the hatch rates, with some reporting hatching dozens of eggs without obtaining a single Larvesta.
The event also offers bonuses such as increased chances of hatching Shiny Pokémon from 2 km, 5 km, and 10 km eggs, 2× XP, and 2× Stardust for hatching Pokémon. While these bonuses are appreciated, many players are left disappointed with the abysmal Larvesta hatch rates, making it difficult to complete their Unova dex and evolve the Torch Pokémon into the Sun Pokémon, Volcarona.
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